Kamala Harris Lands Sixth Polling Win in Four Days

Vice President Kamala Harris has enjoyed a string of polling wins in the days following her official nomination as the Democratic presidential nominee, including making gains in some key battleground states this November.
According to the latest polling from Bloomberg News and Morning Consult, Harris is now in the lead or tied with former President Donald Trump in seven key swing states this fall. The surveys, conducted between August 23 and 26, include responses from at least 450 registered voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
The results are yet another sign of the momentum that has been behind Harris since launching her campaign late last month. According to a report from Morning Consult, when compared to Bloomberg News’ polling in April, swing-state voters who now back Harris are 15 percent more likely to say they are voting for the Democratic candidate rather than casting a vote against Trump.
Harris also now holds a slight lead in six of the battleground states—Georgia. (49 to 47 percent), Michigan (49 to 46 percent), Nevada (49 to 45 percent), North Carolina (49 to 47 percent), Pennsylvania (51 to 47 percent) and Wisconsin (52 to 44 percent)—while the vice president tied with Trump in Arizona at 48 percent, according to the Bloomberg/Morning Consult surveys. The polls have a margin of error ranging from 3 percent to 5 percent.
Earlier this week, polling from Fox News also found that Harris had closed the gap to Trump in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina, which are all states where Biden once trailed the former president by at least 5 percentage points in previous polling from Fox.
Harris’ biggest jumps were in Georgia and Nevada, where she is now leading the former president by 2 percentage points, per Fox News’ poll. Back in April, Biden was losing Georgia by 6 points, and in June the president was behind by 5 points in Nevada.
Harris was also head by 1 point in Arizona, where Biden was behind by 5 points in June. Trump was leading the vice president by 1 point in North Carolina but was once beating Biden by 5 points, per a February poll from Fox.
The vice president has also made inroads with Hispanic voters in recent weeks, a key voting block that has been teetering toward Trump in recent elections. In a YouGov/The Economist poll released Wednesday, 56 percent of Hispanic registered voters said they prefer Harris, while 34 percent backed Trump.
In a similar poll released in late July, Harris was only leading Trump by 6 percentage points (44 percent to 38 percent) among Hispanic voters.
Among national voters, Harris has also taken or expanded her lead in three polls released this week. According to the lastest survey by the Florida Atlantic University Political Communication and Public Opinion Research Lab (PolCom Lab), Harris is leading the presidential race by 4 percentage points, while a month ago the vice president was trailing Trump by 5 points in the same poll.
In a poll from the Big Village conducted between August 23 and 28, Harris was up 7 percentage points (50.4 percent to 43.4 percent) among likely voters, and up 6 points (48.4 percent to 42.4 percent) among registered voters.
A separate poll from USA Today/Suffolk University released on Thursday found the vice president leading Trump by 5 percentage points (48 percent to 43 percent). That same survey also found Harris had improved on Biden’s polling numbers among Black, Hispanic and younger voters, all of which are key voting blocks for Democrats.
As of Thursday night, FiveThirtyEight puts Harris at 3.5 percentage points above Trump on average across national polling.
When reached earlier in the week for comment on Harris’ recent string of polling success, the Trump campaign directed Newsweek to a July 23 memo written by conservative pollster Tony Fabrizio, who at the time warned about a “Harris honeymoon” following the vice president’s entry into the 2024 campaign.
Newsweek sent an email to Harris’ campaign Thursday night for further comment.